суббота, 16 августа 2014 г.

Championship Betting: Back goals as Wolves travel to the New York Stadium

Expect Kenny Jacket's Wolves to be in a high-scoring game

Mike Norman started the Championship season with a successful 2.4 best bet recommendation last week to immediately take his column into a small profit, and our man aims to build on his profitable start with this week's three wagers...

Blackpool 5.59/2 v Blackburn 1.774/5; The Draw 3.8514/5

I took a punt on Blackpool last week mainly believing that I didn't think they'd get the hiding that so many were predicting. Yes they have massive problems, both on and off the pitch, but I stronly believe that in adversity, more often that not a group of players can come together and be far stronger than if they'd have had it all plain sailing.

From the reports that I read last Saturday the Blackpool players didn't feel sorry for themselves and rolled their sleeves up and fought to the end at the City Ground, eventually losing 2-0. And this is exactly what I expect from Jose Riga's men, a group of players trying their very best to make things better on the pitch at least.

So although I don't expect The Tangerines to win many games over the next few months, neither do I expect them to suffer heavy defeats. They were involved in many low-scoring games last term and this might just be the way to profit from them this season also.

Both Blackpool's games this campaign have ended with Under 2.5 Goals paying out, and at 1.9620/21 to back here I'm willing to wager it will be three come 16:50 on Saturday.

Blackburn have also been involved in two low-scoring games this term and they'll have to bounce back from a midweek home loss to League One outfit Scunthorpe if they are to take all three points from Bloomfield Road.

They are just 1.758/11 to do so and that makes no appeal at all so it's the low scoring encounter that I'm hoping form.

Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.9620/21

Reading 2.3211/8 v Ipswich 3.55/2; The Draw 3.55/2

I was very surprised by the pessimism coming from Reading fans ahead of last week's opening game against Wigan. The general consensus was that the Royals would struggle this term after losing Adam Le Fondre amongst others, while not making any significant signings.

I took a different view, in that I believed they had a big squad last term and that Nigel Adkins' reducing his numbers was a positive. Time will tell of course, but having recommended a back of Reading in the Promotion and Top Six Finish markets I was more than encouraged by their display at one of the title favourites, Wigan.

Reading were full value for the point they took from the DW Stadium and quite easily could have returned home will all three. There was certainly a lot to like from their performance and hopefully Reading fans are feeling a little more positive after that display.

The dilemma I have ahead of this game is that Ipswich were my other team that I put up at decent odds pre season. There are few managers with more experience than Mick McCarthy at this level and his side are an improving outfit more than capable of reaching the play-offs this term.

The Tractor Boys underlined their potential by beating another of the title favourites, Fulham, 2-1 at Portman Road last Saturday and I sense that they'll be happy with a point from the Madejski Stadium this weekend - I know I will be.

Recommended Bet
Back The Draw @ 3.55/2

Rotherham 3.02/1 v Wolves 2.6613/8; The Draw 3.45n/a

Pitch together two attack-minded sides, high on confidence and with aspirations of promotion, and you will generally get an entertaining game full of goals.

That's exactly what happened on both occasions Rotherham and Wolves met last season - 3-3 in this fixture, and 6-4 to Wolves in the reverse fixture - and and with both clubs hopefully still in the same mood then we can expect something similar on Saturday afternoon.

Rotherham finished fourth in League One last season and were the second highest goalscorers in the division, second only to Wolves it's worth mentioning. Steve Evans' men also had the joint worse defensive record of the six clubs in the play-offs so it's no surprise that The Millers were involved in some high-scoring games.

Wolves had the meanest defence in League One last term, but as I've already mentioned a total of 16 goals were scored in the two meetings between these sides and Kenny Jackett's men come into this fixture on the back of a five-goal thriller in the Capital One Cup in midweek.

There's no obvious reason why both teams should score and ship goals like they did when they met last season, but by the same token there's no obvious reason why Over 2.5 Goals should be available to back at 2.0421/20. In fact, Over 3.5 Goals at 3.613/5 makes a lot of appeal too so that's what we'll recommend.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 3.613/5 (best bet)

Championship 2014/15 Season P/L

Staked: 4 pts
Returned: 4.8 pts
P/L: + 0.8 pts

*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet

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