четверг, 22 ноября 2012 г.

Follow The Money: De Sarti fancied to be a Titan amongst horses

Will the FTM team have a winner on the level today?

For today's Follow The Money Movers we go to Newcastle, Cheltenham and Lingfield...

Just six line up for the 14:00 2m Handicap Chase at Newcastle, all seemingly with a chance. However, early favourite Ros Castle has drifted like a barge from as low as 2.91n/a and is now trading at 4.216/5. He made a winning start to his chase career at Kelso last month on heavy ground, while his other career win was over the smaller obstacles on soft ground at Ayr last year. He has yet to prove whether the drying, quicker ground he will encounter today suits as much. Maybe the final nail for Ros Castle is the hefty flurry of positive bets we have seen for Prince Tam, who has nearly halved in price. A lay looks the call for Ros Castle today.

William Buick should be on the beach by now after a very successful flat season, however he has decided that the only sand he wants to see is at Lingfield today. Fair enough. He might have a winner too, as Roxelana has been very well supported in the 15:20 1m handicap moving from 5.59/2 in to 4.1n/a. The selection is a winner over course and distance, and was shown to still be progressing when fitted with a first time tongue-tie at Kempton last time. The tongue-tie stays, and with the money down this daughter of Oasis Dream is taken to progress on her upward curve and win today.

The all-conquering Nicky Henderson stable send two out for the 2m5f Handicap hurdle in the 15:35 at Cheltenham in a race they have farmed in recent years. Titan De Sarti is a huge positive in the race moving from an early high of an adjusted 7.92n/a in to 5.69/2 and is now the race favourite. The selection hasn't really lived up to his lofty reputation as yet, but has shown flashes of promise in his races. He ran well, without setting the world alight, over 2m here last month and that should have set him up nicely for today, with the step up in trip expected to suit.

Recommendations

Lay Ros Castle @ 4.216/5 14:00
Back Roxelana @ 4.1n/a 15:20 Lingfield
Back Titan De Sarti @ 5.69/2 15:35 Cheltenham

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