пятница, 30 ноября 2012 г.

Timeform Dubai SmartPlays: Jebel Ali, Friday, November 30

Stephen has picked out three bets from Jebel Ali

Another profitable week last week with Famous Warrior scoring at 9/1 and Timeform's Dubai Handicapper, Stephen Molyneux, will hope to keep the ball rolling with three more selections from Friday's meeting at Jebel Ali...

Doug Watson really kick started his season last week with a trio of winners over the weekend and he looks set for a profitable meeting at Jebel Ali this week. Hopefully he will start in the best possible manner with his Karma Chameleon taken to land the opener at 10:05 on the back of a highly promising run at Meydan 6 days ago when chasing home Profondo Rosso. It was a big step up on his first outing in Dubai and a resumption of the progress he had shown for John Berry earlier in the year. He was set loads to do last week, which is a concern at this different track where it is far harder to come from off the pace, but he's not a horse that's needed to be ridden with that much restraint in the past and his strong-travelling nature lends itself to this dirt surface (has won on fibresand). 

Watson could easily have had another couple of winners by the time Hacienda lines up at 12:35 and this one looks to have leading claims of potentially adding to the tally. He has finished runner-up on both his outings to date this season, beaten by Straight Talk (runs in the 10:35) first up then chasing home Mutual Force over 9f last time. That trip stretches him and he certainly travelled like the best horse at the weights that day so everything looks in place for a big run dropping back to 7f here. 

The maidens have been easy to solve so far this season and hopefully the 13:05 that concludes proceedings is no different. Tlaad is interesting having made his debut in the Dee Stakes back in 2011, but he's not been seen since then and ready preference is for Qannaas who has the form in the book and a pedigree that shouts dirt performer. He was trained by Charles Hills this year and it's fair to say he did look a touch quirky in failing to get off the mark, particularly when beaten at long odds-on at Thirsk in July. The positives are that he's been gelded since his final start which will hopefully straighten him out, but perhaps more importantly is the switch to dirt given he is by Hard Spun out of a mare who finished second in a Grade 2 in America. There are plenty of other good dirt performers amongst his siblings and he has been found a very presentable opportunity for his first start in Dubai. 

RECOMMENDED BETS:
Back Karma Chameleon in the 10:05 at Jebel Ali
Back Hacienda in the 12:35 at Jebel Ali
Back Qannaas in the 13:05 at Jebel Ali

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