Will Cal Crutchlow grab pole today?
Trent Burton believes tomorrow's San Marino GP will be fought out by the two Spaniards but it's a big price rider in today's Pole Position market that interests our man...
After one the most exciting MotoGP races of the year three weeks ago in the Czech Republic, over the past 36 hours in Misano we've been treated to three of the dullest sessions in the history of motorcycle racing.
Mixed conditions here on the Adriatic coast where things haven't been wet or dry but some awkward middle ground means championship challengers Jorge Lorenzo and Dani Pedrosa have barely bothered to go out of track. There's nothing to learn in these conditions for bike setup and all you're doing is risking a crash and wasting petrol and engine miles. It's been a waste of time for the riders and extremely disappointing for the fans at the track.
Back in Brno Pedrosa showed everyone he means business this year. For as long as I can remember Pedrosa has been branded a 'soft' rider, not willing to take the big risk and never able to win unless he can clear off from the start. It's a theory I've never really subscribed to myself and he finally buried the naysayers in Brno. The last last lap battle between here and Lorenzo was one for the ages and with Pedrosa coming out on top, he's lit a fire under this championship in Casey Stoner's absence. The gap to Lorenzo is now just thirteen points and Pedrosa is in the best form of his career.
Misano is a circuit that should suit the Yamaha more than the Honda however and Lorenzo must strike back this weekend. A Pedrosa win would be three in a row and the championship lead down to single figures, even if Lorenzo can finish second. Never mind the incredible momentum and confidence boost it would give the Repsol rider.
With very little to go on this weekend thus far the market can't really split the two Spaniards with Lorenzo a slight favourite at 2.0421/20 to Pedrosa's 2.245/4. Both have won here in the past as well. Given the circuit, and the absolute necessity of a counter blow, I am partial to agree with the market and give Lorenzo the edge by the smallest of margins.
The thing to watch here though could be the start and the In-Play betting. Misano is not a circuit that traditionally produces close racing and it's notoriously difficult to pass at. More often than not, whoever gets away well, will win the race. Pedrosa is the king of fast starts so if he can get into the first corner in the lead and hold firm over the opening laps I expect his and Lorenzo's current prices to swap. If Pedrosa leads into turn one I'd be looking at taking his higher price straight away before he starts to come in.
Qualifying will be hugely important this afternoon since the riders have had no track time. While the championship challengers chase setup, perhaps at the expense of one quick one, pole could well go to someone else who's prepared to throw in a single kamikaze lap. Enter Cal Crutchlow.
Fresh off claiming the first British podium in over twelve years, the Brit's a good chance to repeat the feat here. But it's his 22.021/1 price for pole that equals an excellent roughie bet for me. No-one is prepared to stick it all on the line quite like Cal. He knows he can't win the title so he can afford to take an extra risk this afternoon. He's already an excellent qualifier and I wouldn't be in the least surprised if he takes his maiden pole today.
It's meant to be fine tomorrow so we should at last have a dry race. It should be more a chess match between the Spaniards than the boxing match we had in Brno but either way it will be an integral battle in the title chase.
Recommended Bets
Back Jorge Lorenzo for the win at 2.04
Back Cal Crutchlow for Pole at 22.021/1
Trent Burton believes tomorrow's San Marino GP will be fought out by the two Spaniards but it's a big price rider in today's Pole Position market that interests our man...
After one the most exciting MotoGP races of the year three weeks ago in the Czech Republic, over the past 36 hours in Misano we've been treated to three of the dullest sessions in the history of motorcycle racing.
Mixed conditions here on the Adriatic coast where things haven't been wet or dry but some awkward middle ground means championship challengers Jorge Lorenzo and Dani Pedrosa have barely bothered to go out of track. There's nothing to learn in these conditions for bike setup and all you're doing is risking a crash and wasting petrol and engine miles. It's been a waste of time for the riders and extremely disappointing for the fans at the track.
Back in Brno Pedrosa showed everyone he means business this year. For as long as I can remember Pedrosa has been branded a 'soft' rider, not willing to take the big risk and never able to win unless he can clear off from the start. It's a theory I've never really subscribed to myself and he finally buried the naysayers in Brno. The last last lap battle between here and Lorenzo was one for the ages and with Pedrosa coming out on top, he's lit a fire under this championship in Casey Stoner's absence. The gap to Lorenzo is now just thirteen points and Pedrosa is in the best form of his career.
Misano is a circuit that should suit the Yamaha more than the Honda however and Lorenzo must strike back this weekend. A Pedrosa win would be three in a row and the championship lead down to single figures, even if Lorenzo can finish second. Never mind the incredible momentum and confidence boost it would give the Repsol rider.
With very little to go on this weekend thus far the market can't really split the two Spaniards with Lorenzo a slight favourite at 2.0421/20 to Pedrosa's 2.245/4. Both have won here in the past as well. Given the circuit, and the absolute necessity of a counter blow, I am partial to agree with the market and give Lorenzo the edge by the smallest of margins.
The thing to watch here though could be the start and the In-Play betting. Misano is not a circuit that traditionally produces close racing and it's notoriously difficult to pass at. More often than not, whoever gets away well, will win the race. Pedrosa is the king of fast starts so if he can get into the first corner in the lead and hold firm over the opening laps I expect his and Lorenzo's current prices to swap. If Pedrosa leads into turn one I'd be looking at taking his higher price straight away before he starts to come in.
Qualifying will be hugely important this afternoon since the riders have had no track time. While the championship challengers chase setup, perhaps at the expense of one quick one, pole could well go to someone else who's prepared to throw in a single kamikaze lap. Enter Cal Crutchlow.
Fresh off claiming the first British podium in over twelve years, the Brit's a good chance to repeat the feat here. But it's his 22.021/1 price for pole that equals an excellent roughie bet for me. No-one is prepared to stick it all on the line quite like Cal. He knows he can't win the title so he can afford to take an extra risk this afternoon. He's already an excellent qualifier and I wouldn't be in the least surprised if he takes his maiden pole today.
It's meant to be fine tomorrow so we should at last have a dry race. It should be more a chess match between the Spaniards than the boxing match we had in Brno but either way it will be an integral battle in the title chase.
Recommended Bets
Back Jorge Lorenzo for the win at 2.04
Back Cal Crutchlow for Pole at 22.021/1
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