среда, 25 марта 2015 г.

The Big Wednesday Multiple: Tight match expected at Hampden

There will certainly be more pints sunk than goals scored

It's that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections...

Bet 1: Georgia (HOME) @ 1.36 (4/11)

This is an international friendly that should result in a relatively straightforward home victory. It's not often that Georgia would be this short a price but they face a country even worse than them.

The hosts were beaten 4-0 last time out by Poland but before that they brushed aside Gibraltar with ease. They have also won against Saudi Arabia and Liechenstein in the last 12 months and it wasn't too long ago that they held France to a draw.

Malta are a small country who have lost 11 of their last 13 fixtures. They failed to score in eight of those defeats and the last time they came to Georgia, they were beaten to nil.

Bet 2: Botafogo (AWAY) @ 1.28 (2/7)

The Brazilian State Championships are well underway and Botafogo are in the midst of a recovery following their miserable campaign last season that saw them relegated from the Campeonato.

This is a Carioca 1 fixture and Botafogo top the table having picked up 28 points from a possible 33. They've won eight of their last nine matches with the only blemish coming at Fluminense - a result that can easily be forgiven.

Their opponents are Rio de Janeiro based minnows who are third from bottom after their 11 fixtures. They have won just once and been beaten in over half of their matches. Home advantage could help level the playing field slightly, but I wouldn't hold out much hope of Barra Mansa avoiding defeat.

Bet 3: Germany v Australia (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.47 (40/85) - Live on ESPN at 19:30 GMT

World Cup Winners, Germany, haven't been firing on all cylinders since their wonderful summer of 2014 but they did beat Spain last time out and the players have had a much needed rest from internationals.

I expect Joachim Lw's men to come back well refreshed, especially as the manager has stated that youth will be given a chance. Both new and old players will be keen to impress and I can see the Germans racking up a few goals in Kaiserslautern.

Opponents, Australia, are a scrappy team that quite often punch above their own weight. This was highlighted in the World Cup as despite losing all three matches, they performed better than the results suggest. All three of their group games went over 2.5 goals and I wouldn't rule them out from scoring this evening.

Bet 4: Scotland v Northern Ireland (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.53 (8/15) - Live on Sky Sports 1 at 19:45 GMT

This home nations friendly should be a fantastic occasion but I can't see there being many goals.

Scotland have performed much better of late under the guidance of Gordon Strachan. A total of eight of their last 10 fixtures at home have finished with two goals or fewer being scored and I expect more tasty challenges than creative flair.

A similar description could be written about Northern Ireland as they have won three of their last four fixtures, with three of them rewarding under 2.5 goal backers. In fact, nine of their last 10 matches would have seen under 2.5 backers collect and they don't often score many on the road.

Recommended Multiple

Back Georgia @ 1.36 (4/11)
Back Botafogo @ 1.28 (2/7)
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Germany v Australia @ 1.47 (40/85)
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Scotland v Northern Ireland @ 1.53 (8/15);

The Multiple pays approximately 3.91 (3/1)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 11 pts
Returned: 22.38 pts
P/L: + 11.38 pts
(2014 P/L: + 48.57pts)
(2013 P/L: - 15.49 pts)

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