среда, 25 марта 2015 г.

International Tips: No stopping Denmark and Germany

Joachim Low has halted Germany's post-World Cup malaise

Michael Lintorn picks out his best bets for Georgia v Malta, Denmark v USA and Germany v Australia...

Georgia v Malta
Wednesday, 17:00
Live on Betfair Live Video

Match Odds: Georgia 1.42/5, Malta 11.5n/a, The Draw 4.84/1

Michel Platini may have widened the entranceway to Euro 2016 so that up to three teams from any qualifying group can now gain admission, but it has only taken four games for Georgia and Malta to write themselves out of contention by collecting three points and one respectively.

Malta's calling card is under 2.5 goals. Their four qualifiers served up just eight goals, with three delivering on the aforementioned bet, while all of their 2014 friendlies went low as well.

Georgia don't overindulge either, as evidenced by putting a mere three past Gibraltar in October after the newcomers had been destroyed 7-0 by Poland and Republic of Ireland.

Recommended Bet
Back under 2.5 goals @ 1.784/5

Denmark v USA
Wednesday, 19:15
Live on Betfair Live Video

Match Odds: Denmark 2.166/5, USA 3.9n/a, The Draw 3.55/2

Your initial instinct might be to question why a nation that didn't even qualify for the World Cup are favourites to defeat one of the most celebrated round-of-16 evacuees. However, the statistics tell a different story, one whereby being able to back Denmark at odds as big as 2.166/5 is in fact a privilege.

Morten Olsen's men - that's right, the 65-year-old is approaching a phenomenal 15 years in charge - have won four in six as hosts.

USA have only triumphed once since the World Cup and not at all in their latest four fixtures, the latest two of which were losses to Colombia and Republic of Ireland in Europe. Denmark prevailed in the pair's previous clash 3-1, which was held in the same Aarhus-based stadium in 2009.

Recommended Bet
Back Denmark to win @ 2.166/5

Germany v Australia
Wednesday, 19:30
Live on ESPN

Match Odds: Germany 1.21/5, Australia 18.5n/a, The Draw 8.88/1

Germany have suffered a heavy World Cup hangover, losing to Argentina and Poland, being held at home by Republic of Ireland, scraping past Scotland and scoring three fewer than two Euro 2016 qualifying foes against Gibraltar, but a friendly win in Spain last time out will have shaken it off.

Australia will fear a similarly unhelpful reaction to securing their first silverware since ditching their home confederation for Asia's AFC in 2006, lifting the AFC Asian Cup as hosts in January.

Those concerns will be heightened by the knowledge that they were beaten without reply in their last three friendlies against European sides, with none of those opponents as accomplished as the world champions: France (6-0), Croatia (1-0) and Belgium (2-0).

A third clean sheet in a row should therefore be Germany's target, and it would have been four were it not for the last-gasp concession to Republic of Ireland's John O'Shea in October.

Recommended Bet
Back Germany to win to nil @ 1.9110/11

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