Against All Odds: Goals to flow in Capital Federal

Can San Lorenzo take the league title in Argentina?

The week begins in Argentina for Paul Robinson as he feels that there is value in opposing under 2.5 goals in the match between Nueva Chicago and San Lorenzo.

Nueva Chicago v San Lorenzo
Monday 23 March, 19:00 GMT

It's been a poor start to the season for Nueva Chicago as despite now playing in a higher division, they will be disappointed not to have won a game yet after five fixtures.

Conceding too many goals has been the main issue for Rene Kloker's side as they are still to pick up a clean sheet, and have only managed to keep the opposition's score down to one on just one occasion.

They have scored themselves in every match bar the visit of Godoy Cruz to this stadium, and that has led to three of their five fixtures rewarding those who opposed under 2.5 goals.

It's been a mixed season for San Lorenzo thus far as while they are making a poor job of defending their Copa Libertadores crown, their domestic campaign has yielded four wins from five attempts.

As far as the goals go, Edgardo Bauza's men have scored 10 so far this term and conceded four. Their matches are averaging 2.8 goals each time, with three of the five having had three or more.

We could do with a winner after a disappointing few days and I think this selection is excellent value to give us just that. That's why, with under 2.5 goals trading at around the 1.548/15 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.

Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Nueva Chicago v San Lorenzo @ 1.548/15

2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 80 pts
Returned: 64.12 pts
P/L: - 15.88 pts (after commission)
(2014 P/L: + 17.34 pts)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)