четверг, 26 марта 2015 г.

BNP Paribas Open Betting: Isner to continue winning streak over Anderson

Isner can win the big-serving battle with Anderson today Isner can win the big-serving battle with Anderson today

Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic are both in action on Monday at Indian Wells and Sean Calvert foresees contrasting fortunes for the Australian Open finalists in their third round matches today...

After another up and down day at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden on Sunday the men's third round begins on Monday, with Andy Murray among those in action on day five.

Stevie Johnson landed my headline tip of the day yesterday with a straight sets win over Ivo Karlovic at a nice price, but prior to that Simone Bolelli was flat as a pancake in a weak two set loss to Milos Raonic.

My main outright bet Stan Wawrinka threw in a shocker of a performance in sets one and three to lose to Robin Haase - a man who hadn't won a single match in 2015 coming into this tournament.

Furthermore, Haase had a 2-5 record at Indian Wells and a 0-6 record against Wawrinka, although I did say yesterday that the overs would be a good bet, with Stan usually slow to start in tournaments.

I didn't think it would be that slow though and Haase - as well as he played - didn't need to do too much to win the last few games of the match, with Stan committing the cardinal sin against Haase of failing to ask the choky Dutchman to serve either set out.

Today's schedule looks to offer some decent opportunities and for those happy to stay up until about 3.30am there's a chance to back Novak Djokovic to thrash Albert Ramos.

I can't see anything in the game of Ramos that will allow him to win more than a couple of games here and the 6-0 set is a distinct possibility if prices arrive on that market.

Novak has been involved in six 6-1 sets in his last half dozen matches at Indian Wells and with the largely weaponless Ramos as his opponent today the 5.59/2 about the Serb winning it by that score is well worth a back-to-lay wager.

There have been reports of Djokovic suffering with a "minor foot issue", but assuming that's all it is he should win this very comfortably and the under 17.5 games looks highly likely too at 1.9520/21.

As for Djokovic's beaten opponent in the Australian Open final, Murray faces a tricky task against Philipp Kohlschreiber, who has given the Scot plenty of problems in slow conditions in the past.

The German thrashed Murray on clay a few years ago in Monte Carlo and should have beaten him in Paris last season, but ended up losing in five, so I'm not too sure why Andy is a 1.162/13 shot here in a tournament he rarely plays well at.

Kohlschreiber has had a poor season so far, but he has been suffering with a few ailments and he looked in good nick in round one against Tim Smyczek.

The +4.5 games on the German at 2.111/10 and over 20.5 total games both appeal here, as does the +1.5 sets at 2.6213/8.

Murray hasn't exactly been Mr Consistency this season, with abysmal performances lately against Borna Coric and Gilles Simon and 1.162/13 looks a shocking price today.

I've talked a lot about John Isner in the build-up to this tournament and it was no real surprise to see him shake off the poor form of the early season and play very well in round one against Jurgen Melzer.

His transformation when he reaches Palm Springs is always remarkable and he looks decent value to get the better of Kevin Anderson in a battle of two players both well suited to conditions at Indian Wells.

Isner leads the career series 7-3 and as he plays better here than anywhere else (he also beat Anderson here in 2010) the 1.9110/11 about him recording a sixth straight win over the South African looks decent.

Recommended Bets
Back to lay Djokovic to win set one 6-1 at 5.59/2
Back Kohlschreiber +4.5 games to beat Murray at 2.111/10
Back Isner to beat Anderson at 1.9110/11

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