Against All Odds: Christmas to come early for Santa Fe layers

Santa Fe have been struggling of late

There's plenty of value to be had in Colombia tonight as Paul Robinson believes that Santa Fe have to be opposed at odds-on for the visit of Medellin.

Santa Fe v Medellin
Wednesday March 25, 00:45 GMT

After winning the Colombian championship last season, Santa Fe haven't quite hit the same heights this time around. With Copa Libertadores football providing a distraction, one of the most historic clubs in Colombia's history are only in eighth place after winning just four of 10 fixtures.

Gustavo Costas will be hoping that his side can now kick on as there is a bit of a break before their next Libertadores fixture, and while they did win 4-1 at the weekend, that was against a team who are second from bottom.

Tonight's opponents, Medellin, are a much tougher challenge and they only narrowly lost to Santa Fe in the Championship final last season. Nicknamed 'The Powerful', the Hernn Torres Oliveros managed club are already flexing their muscles this term as they have picked up 20 points from their 10 outings, and if they avoid defeat tonight, they will go top.

It's four wins in six league fixtures for Medellin and three wins out of four on the road. Their sole loss away from home did come nine days ago, but that came at Atletico Nacional and that can easily be forgiven.

It's hard to have faith in the hosts given their current form and Medellin are one of the best teams in the country. That's why, with Santa Fe trading at around the 1.845/6 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.

Recommended Bet
Lay Santa Fe v Medellin @ 1.845/6

2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 81 pts
Returned: 64.12 pts
P/L: - 16.88 pts (after commission)
(2014 P/L: + 17.34 pts)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)