BMW PGA Championship Tips: A quartet of two-balls for Moving Day

Shane Lowry is bang in contention at halfway

Paul Krishnamurty runs through his best four bets for round three at Wentworth...

Back Anders Hansen to beat Pablo Larrazabal 4u @ 2.111/10
Starts 10.50

Starting Saturday from six off the pace, these two plausible winners are exactly the types one looks for as a 'Moving Day' trade. Both are proven winners, fairly frequent European Tour contenders and available at huge odds but, when it comes to course form, Hansen is miles in front. If Larrazabal is to make serious headway today, he will need to record a personal best around Wentworth. In 14 rounds here, he's only made par three times and never bettered 70. Alternatively, Hansen has won this event twice previously and is well set for an eighth top-25 finish.

Back Jason Levermore to beat Edoardo Molinari 2u @ 3.7511/4
Starts 11.45

The fact there are 1356 places between these two in the world rankings does not mean victory for this very short-priced favourite is assured by any means. Having made only one top-20 in the last 14 months, broken 70 only five times this season and never bettered 39th at Wentworth, Molinari is hardly the type to bank on, even if his opponent lacks any pedigree.  I freely admit Jason Levermore is not a name that has caught my attention before as his only main tour appearances have been in this event, courtesy of regional qualifiers. What we do know is that he made the cut in 2011 and will lack absolutely nothing in terms of incentive over what could be a career-changing weekend.

Back Shane Lowry to beat Greg Havret 5u @ 1.9620/21
Starts 12.25

There is a vast gulf between my expectations for these two over the weekend. While Havret does have the odd piece of world-class form in his record, he hasn't been competitive for a long time and generally suffers around this layout. In his last 10 visits, 38th place in 2008 is the only time he's made the top-60. It will be a huge shock if the Frenchman wins this title, whereas Shane Lowry is on my halfway trading shortlist. He was in fair form at the World Match Play last week and is a better player, more accustomed to world-class company, than when fourth here two years ago.  

Back Simon Khan to beat Lee Westwood 2u @ 3.55/2
Starts 12.35

There is no such thing as a certainty over 18 holes so while Lee Westwood has rock-solid claims for winning this title, he is worth taking on at very short odds against a course specialist. Khan's Wentworth stats are among the best in the entire field, winning the title in 2010, finishing runner-up in 2006 and registering six top-30 finishes. Having started the tournament well again, there's no reason why Simon can't match strides with Westwood and hang around in the top-ten.