Against All Odds: Goals in tonight's FuГџball

It was Osnabruck who were celebrating after the game on Friday

Dynamo Dresden and Osnabruck meet for the second leg of their German promotion/relegation Play-off this evening and Paul Robinson thinks we could be in for plenty of goals.

The first match between this pair finished 1-0 to Osnabruck last Friday but Dynamo Dresden have been on a good run at home of late and are still right in the tie. They completed the regular Bundesliga Two season with four straight victories at Glcksgas Stadium but it wasn't quite enough to lift them to safety. 

Peter Pacult's side scored nine goals in that four game period and prior to a blank at home to Koln, they scored against Hertha BSC and put three past Sandhausen. Clean sheets haven't been easy to come by though - just two in their last seven - and if they concede this evening, they will be forced to score at least three themselves to survive.

Osnabruck finished third in the third tier of German football and they set themselves up for promotion with that 1-0 victory in the first leg. Their away form is a concern though as Claus-Dieter Wollitz's men have fallen to five defeats in their last seven on the road.

Given their vulnerability away from the Osnatel-Arena I expect them to be bold and try and get the early away goal that would put them firmly in the driving seat. The Lily Whites certainly have a goal in them as they scored twice at Hallescher FC, Wehen Wiesbaden and Unterhaching recently.

This is almost a winner takes all match up and while I foresee it being relatively open from an early stage, it should certainly get quite ragged during the second half. Given the circumstances, under 2.5 goals is just too short at around the 1.910/11 mark, and that's why I have to make it my lay of the day. 

Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Dynamo Dresden v Osnabruck @ 1.910/11 

2013 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 147 pts
Returned: 135.03 pts
P/L – 11.97 pts (after commission)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)