The Venetia Williams-trained Brick Red has an excellent chance
David Cleary has looked through Musselburgh's card and found two bets for you...
There's a cracking afternoon in store at Musselburgh with trials for all sorts of races at the Cheltenham Festival on an eight-race card. Overturn may well be the star attraction in the opening Arkle trial at 13.00, but Tap Night could enhance his claims for the Golden Miller in the other novice chase on the card, while promising juveniles Kashmir Peak and Sametegal clash again in the Triumph trial at 14.30. Even the handicaps on the card have a Cheltenham angle, with replicas of the Grand Annual, the County Hurdle and the Martin Pipe. Those races look to offer the best betting options of the afternoon.
The Scottish County Hurdle at 15.30 has attracted a useful field, including a couple of in-form Musselburgh specialists in Ingleby Spirit and Dontpaytheferryman. They were both in the frame in the race last year, the latter for the second time, and they finished second and third respectively in a similar event here last month. Both are likely to run well but they have no secrets from the handicapper, whereas he's still a bit in the dark about how good a hurdler Brick Red is, despite wins on that one's part at Ludlow and Wincanton on his last two starts. Those successes on similar sharp, right-handed tracks to Musselburgh weren't unexpected, as Brick Red had been promising a lot better to come previously, just faced with too much of a test of stamina. Although he's up plenty in the weights, Brick Red has definitely got more to give, such was the ease of his successes, and less testing conditions this afternoon could even play further to his strengths.
Topweight Salubrious brings solid form to the table in the conditional jockeys hurdle, the Pipe-lookalike handicap, which closes the card at 16.30. He's likely to run well, but he has to give a lot of weight to the fairly useful Flat performer Lexington Bay who is making his handicap debut. Lexington Bay has been learning the ropes so far over hurdles, gradually improving and better than the result at Wetherby last time, where a bad mistake three out cost him plenty. Today's longer trip shouldn't be a problem, judged on Flat form, and it's surely significant he's now fitted with cheekpieces, having worn them only once previously, when winning at York on the Flat in October.
Recommended Bets:
Back Brick Red @ 3.55/2 in the 15.30 at Musselburgh
Back Lexington Bay @ 5.04/1 in the 16.30 at Musselburgh
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