среда, 27 февраля 2013 г.

Timeform Dubai SmartPlays: Meydan, Thursday February 28

There is some excellent action at Meydan on Thursday.

Timeform's Dubai handicapper, Stephen Molyneux, suggests three bets for Thursday's card at Meydan...

The 15:20 is a competitive sprint with a couple dropping in grade but Justineo looks the interesting one now he is back at 6f. He's clearly not the easiest to win with having just the maiden success to his name, but he's spent much of his career punching above his weight so perhaps that shouldn't be held against him. His best run last year came over this trip when third to Eton Rifles in a listed contest at Doncaster and whilst arguably on a stiff enough mark as a result of that run, he has shaped as though he can close off it in two starts at Meydan this year. Both those runs came at 7f, doing too much too soon on each occasion, but he travelled better than most when fifth to Time Prisoner last time and from a good draw in stall 2, he will hopefully be in the perfect position throughout. 

Sajjhaa franked the form of the Cape Verdi when landing the Balanchine last week but Amanee could easily have beaten her in the former had she had some luck and Mike de Kock's charge can atone for that defeat in the 16:30. Amanee was a Group 2 winner last year and, like so many from the yard, built significantly on her reappearance when second to Sajjhaa last time, beaten to a gap at a crucial stage by the winner and having little time to recover. It would come as no surprise if she were to go on again from that and assuming she handles this different surface, she should take plenty of beating. 

Dhruba Selveratnam is good for producing at least one big-priced winner each Carnival and hopefully his Jaasoos can do the business in the 17:40. It's been a lean season for Selveratnam with just four wins to his name, but two of those came at Jebel Ali last weekend and the stable as a whole do seem in much better form. Jaasoos typified that with a promising effort last time, only eighth to Time Prisoner but he was badly hampered in a messy race and could easily have threatened the first four had he got a clean run through. He's slowly edging back down the weights and it was only 12 months ago he was finishing second to Delegator off a mark of 110, and he wouldn't need to replicate that fully to make an impact here. 

Timeform Dubai Smartplays:
Back Justineo in the 15:20
Back Amanee in the 16:30
Back Jaasoos win and place in the 17:40

Download your Timeform card for Meydan now!

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