Can Shaun 'The Magician' Murphy live up to his nickname?
Paul Krishnamurty's superb run at the UK Championship continues, with yesterday's successful trade making it five winners from five bets advised. Can Shaun Murphy keep the run going in today's quarter-final?
Although yesterday's matches provided superb entertainment including a 147, in terms of the standard, this hasn't been a vintage UK Championship by any means. Almost every big name has underperformed, with several out already, and at least a couple of the quarter-finalists owe their progress to the failings of opponents.
The most obvious example is 17 year-old Luca Brecel. Make no mistake, this kid will eventually be the real deal, but he hasn't needed anything special to earn this career best run. Both of his victims at York, Ricky Walden and Mark King, must still be wondering how they contrived to throw their matches away. Brecel is immensely talented but at this early stage of his career, somewhat reminiscent of Judd Trump around the same age. A great potter and natural breakbuilder, but tactically naive and likely to give opponents several chances per frame. He looks extremely vulnerable to an in-form, experienced player.
Shaun Murphy is precisely that and one of the few players to have looked close to their best this week. Having made light work of Graeme Dott in the last round, the 2008 UK champion is a red-hot 1.3130/100 favourite to dismiss the teenager and rightly so. I'm expecting Murphy to get plenty of chances and score heavily for a comfortable victory.
There's only so much mileage, of course, in backing Murphy to win the match at 1.3130/100, so a better value alternative could be a trio of correct score bets on him to win 6-1, 6-2 and 6-3, as detailed below. The combined odds of these three correct scores equates to just above 2.01/1.
Recommended Bets
Back Shaun Murphy to win 6-1 1.5u @ 8.415/2
Back Shaun Murphy to win 6-2 2u @ 6.411/2
Back Shaun Murphy to win 6-3 2u @ 5.79/2
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