среда, 26 июня 2013 г.

Find Me a 100 Winner: Two links specialists for the Irish Open

Tommy Fleetwood's links pedigree is a significant asset

Paul Krishnamurty's weekly trading column heads to the Irish Open, where all recent evidence points towards a links specialist from the British Isles...

A mere cursory glance at the list of recent Irish Open champions offers a very strong indicator in that the last six were all from Britain or Ireland. Moreover among the last ten, the only overseas winners were links or bad weather specialists - Thomas Bjorn, Brett Rumford and Michael Campbell. Given the inland links style of this year's Carton House venue plus the fact fairly strong winds are expected throughout, there's every reason for the trend to be maintained.

Both of my picks fit the bill having honed their skills around the classic links layouts on the Lancashire coast. They also both showed eyecatching form last week and are available at the same 130.0129/1 odds. 

Tommy Fleetwood was being tipped for the highest honours almost immediately after turning pro 22 months ago, especially when finishing third at the Dunhill Links. While Tommy hasn't broken through yet in the quite the way some expected, he is making steady progress, missing only one cut since his seasonal debut. He seems certain to win or at least contend strongly sooner or later and a stern links test represents the ideal opportunity.

Likewise Matthew Baldwin's very best form has been on links tracks, finishing fifth in the high-class Scottish Open and 23rd the following week in the Open itself. He'll be disappointed to have dropped away from contention to 18th in Munich - his second costly Sunday in a row - but is clearly in decent nick.

The trading advice is to stake four units in total on the pair, then place lay orders on each at 15.014/1 and 3.02/1. If either hits the first target, we'll triple the initial outlay.

Recommended bets

Back Tommy Fleetwood 2u @ 130.0129/1
Back Matthew Baldwin 2u @ 130.0129/1

Place order to lay both players 12u @ 15.014/1 
Place order to lay both players 20u @ 3.02/1 

Updated 2013 Stats: -8.5 units

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