пятница, 26 апреля 2013 г.

Follow The Money: Cash for Chil suggests Kite can fly home

Will Chil The Kite fly home at Sandown today?

The Follow The Money team have been scouring the markets and they've come with a selection from each of the meetings at Doncaster, Perth, and Sandown...

The Cockney Mackem has been drifting alarmingly all morning in the 14:20 at Perth. He can now be backed at 2.3611/8 from around the 1.8810/11 mark in early exchanges. This Twiston-Davies trained runner does look the one to be with on paper. However, he is rated a better chaser than hurdler, and gives the impression that he doesn't like to get his head in front too often anyway. The Cockney Mackem hasn't won a race since his bumper debut, and must rate as a lay at the price today.

Moving to Sandown now for the 14:45 Group 2 mile race where Chil The Kite has seen solid support, moving from 11.010/1 early doors to 7.413/2 currently. It's interesting to see such market confidence for a colt that, while a decent performer last year, looked just short of group level. Hughie Morrison has gained the services of Ryan Moore who enjoyed a productive time on this horse, having gained two wins from two rides on him on good ground last Summer. If we ignore his last run in November on bottomless ground in France, the selection fits the profile of an improving horse and he might just take the step up in class in his stride.

Rivellino has been just about the best backed horse of the day in the 6f handicap at Doncaster. This progressive looking inmate of Mrs Karl Burke's has been backed off the boards moving from 8.615/2 in to 4.57/2. A useful looking debut third at Ascot was followed by a flop at Ayr, though the heavy ground that day undoubtedly played its part. Rivellino got his head in front at the third time of asking at Kempton in November, with a decent performance on a fast surface. Today's good to firm going should really suit this Invincible Spirit colt and he is taken to gain a second career win on only his fourth start.

Recommended Bets

Lay The Cockney Mackem @ 2.506/4 14:20 Perth
Back Chil The Kite @ 7.413/2 14:45 Sandown
Back Rivellino @ 4.57/2 16:45 Doncaster

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