Against All Odds: Lions and Eagles to give us goals

Lions are a dangerous animal when wounded

There's a big game in the Championship this evening as Millwall host Crystal Palace and while both teams have been struggling to score of late, Paul Robinson thinks the goals could flow.

Millwall were looking like play-off contenders earlier in the campaign but Kenny Jackett's men are now in the midst of a relegation battle. They are only one point clear of Barnsley and Peterborough but victory tonight would ensure their safety. 

That is clearly a huge incentive for The Lions as they won't want their fate unknown going into the final day, especially as they are away from home. The vocal home support will be roaring them on at The Den and while they have struggled for goals recently - four in seven - I'm confident that they will go all out for the three points in this one.

Crystal Palace are another side on the slide but they are at least still in the promotion hunt. Ian Holloway's outfit are in fifth place, but have Bolton, Nottingham Forest and Leicester all snapping at their heels. 

The Eagles also have a huge incentive to win this evening as three points would all but secure their play-off place given their superior goal difference over their rivals. 

Again, the stats don't point to goals for Palace as they have netted just two in their last half dozen away matches, however this is the time for players like Glenn Murray and the departing Wilfried Zaha to step up to the plate.

Under 2.5 goals is trading as low as 1.865/6 and I think that has to be taken on as I can't see either team settling for a draw. That should translate into 90 minutes of attacking football, and that's why I'm making it my lay of the day.  

Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Millwall v Crystal Palace @ 1.865/6 

2013 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 119 pts
Returned: 106.17 pts
P/L – 12.83 pts (after commission)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)