Against All Odds: Morning glory for Roda JC

I've never forgiven Koeman for his foul on David Platt in 1993 that didn't result in the deserved red card

With a profitable week secured for this column, Paul Robinson stays in Holland today as he feels Feyenoord are too short for their morning trip to Roda JC.

I said yesterday that AZ Alkmaar were ridiculously short at 1.584/7 and I was justified as they could only draw 1-1 with ADO Den Haag. We're in the Dutch Eredivisie again and I'm hopeful of increasing our profit for the week.

Roda JC have struggled this season after finishing mid-table last term. They are down in 16th place and are in danger of having to play in the dreaded relegation play-off. Their form isn't actually that bad at the moment though and they would be much higher in the league if they didn't draw so many games. 

The wonderfully named Ruud Brood has seen his side avoid defeat in nine of their last 10 league matches, with the sole loss coming at Utrecht when they were reduced to 10 men after just 18 minutes. The Pride of the South have only lost two of their dozen home games this year and they are currently undefeated in five.

Feyenoord are up in third place, just three points off leaders PSV with a game in hand. Last season's runners up have won four of their last five after only winning two of the five before that. They followed up a vital home victory over PSV with a comfortable 3-0 win at NEC last Sunday and they will be in the mood to make it nine points from a possible nine this morning.

I do have my concerns about Ronald Koeman's side away from De Kuip though as The Club on the Meuse have won just six of 13 on the road this season - a win rate of under 50%. They've lost at Zwolle and been held by NAC Breda so I wouldn't be concerned about the fact that Roda are near the foot of the table.

This looks like a tight fixture on paper and the draw must be a huge runner. It finished 0-0 last season and 3-0 to Roda the season before so with Feyenoord trading as low as 1.784/5 I have to make them my lay of the day. 

Recommended Bet
Lay Feyenoord v Roda JC @ 1.784/5 

This match is available on Betfair Live Video at 11:30

2013 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 68 pts
Returned: 62.45 pts
P/L – 5.55  pts (after commission)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)