четверг, 28 марта 2013 г.

Southwell Placepot: Wednesday March 27

Adrian Nicholls can hopefully get us off to a good start on Jack Dawkins

Timeform's Tony McFadden brings you a Placepot permutation from Southwell on Wednesday...

14:10- Right Stuff holds the strongest form credentials and his victory against the prolific winner La Estrella on his penultimate start at Lingfield would give him an obvious chance. However, Right Stuff may not be one rely on as he was a disappointment last time and is unproven on this surface, so we will instead put in fibresand-specialist Jack Dawkins, who has been performing with admirable consistency of late and looks sure to give a good account.

14:40- Combustible has improved with each run and got close to a rival rated significantly higher when going down by a length here on Saturday. With her proven effectiveness on fibresand, Combustible looks like a banker proposition to finish in the first two places and ensure we progress to the third leg.

15:10- It is difficult to overlook the claims of Caldercruix on the back of a creditable effort in better company here on Saturday and he has to be kept onside. His record suggests that he handles fibresand exceptionally well and he should be very difficult to keep out of the frame. He is, however, likely to command a large proportion of the 'pot' so it may be worth including another Southwell specialist in the shape of Our Ivor. Michael Appleby's charge had rattled up a C&D hat-trick prior to disappointing on his most recent outing, but he had legitimate excuses on that occasion and it would be no surprise to see him bounce back.

15:45- Usually in a four-runner race the safe tactic would be to include all of the contenders, ensuring progress to the next leg. However, with a view to keeping the number of lines down, we will take a chance, only including Hannahs Turn and Miako. The former is the obvious selection, her flawless record at Southwell making her impossible to leave out, while Miako may be capable of better on this surface and remains with potential.

16:20- You will rarely see a horse as unlucky in defeat as Elusive Hawk was on Monday, carried wide at Lingfield by a loose horse before charging home late on. However, he is evidently in good form, coming into that race on the back of a five-length romp at Kempton, and this three-time C&D winner needs to be included. Once again, though, it could be worth including a second string given the likely impact on the pool should the favourite miss out, and Rio Cobolo looks like the best option. Dandy Nicholls' horse has been performing consistently of late, more so than the form figures would imply, and he is proven on this unique surface.

16:55- Apache Rising's best efforts have all come on fibresand and, though denied the hat-trick last time, he produced his best effort yet when finishing third to Mixed Message, arguably slightly unlucky as his rivals edged into him in the closing stages. Luv U Whatever boasts similarly strong claims on this surface, but Apache Rising is likely to be carrying fewer lines so he just gets the nod in the final leg.

Selections:

14:10- 1 
14:40- 6
15:10- 2, 5
15:45- 2, 4
16:20- 1, 9
16:55- 3
= 8 lines

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