вторник, 26 марта 2013 г.

Timeform Radio Racing Tips: Two bets at Fontwell

David Cleary recommends two bets at Fontwell

David Cleary casts his eye over the action at Fontwell on Tuesday, finding two bets for you...

There's all-weather action at both Southwell and Lingfield this afternoon, but the best options from a punting point of view look to be on the jumps card at Fontwell. The ground is bound to be testing there and it will be wise to keep an eye on whether there is any advantage in racing wide on the hurdles course, but, all things being equal, the novice hurdle and bumper which top and tail the afternoon could prove profitable.

The closing bumper at 17.10 concerns mostly those with experience in similar events, the pick of those with form looking up to standard for a similar event. Morebutwhen is the morning favourite, on the strength of her second at Newbury at the start of the month but she looks far too short, having been sent off at 66/1 that day and made the running in a slowly-run affair on good ground. She's the first to run out of the race and, given additionally the change in the ground and the chance she was flattered, Morebutwhen has to be taken on.

The other mare in the field Cannon Fodder makes more appeal, having finished second under similar conditions at Plumpton on her debut, though whether she has much more to offer is open to doubt. More interesting are the pair that finished first and second over course and distance a month ago, Unowhatimeanharry and Sergeant Mattie. On terms 7 lb better, Sergeant Mattie ought to reverse placings but it isn't quite so clear cut as that, as Unowhatimeanharry travelled better for longer and might have won by further had he not shown inexperience under pressure. At the morning prices, Unowhatimeanharry makes clear appeal, particularly each way or win and place. There are others to note: Major Martin shaped with promise on his debut and will be well suited by the six-furlong step up in trip, while market support for Un Bleu A L'Aam and the winning pointer Harry's Farewell would be interesting. 

The novice hurdle at 14.10 also has quite an open look to it but, in the expectation that he makes the required improvement from his debut in a better race at Newbury, Loudmouth is selected. He took a while to win a point in Ireland and didn't seem fancied first time up over hurdles but he showed clear promise that day in a race which is starting to work out and with experience, a longer trip and softer ground all likely to be in his favour, Loudmouth can come good at the second time of asking. 

Recommended Bets:

Back Unowhatimeanharry @ 8.07/1 in the 17.10 at Fontwell
Back Loudmouth @ 5.24/1 in the 14.10 at Fontwell

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