четверг, 31 января 2013 г.

Timeform UK SmartPlays: Wednesday January 31

Venetia can keep firing in the winners

Timeform bring you three national hunt bets from today's meeting at Wincanton, which was given the green light earlier...

We don't have to wait long for our first bet as it comes in the opening race on the card in the form of Parsnip Pete. Tom George's seven-year-old was only a fair hurdler, but he has looked a different proposition since having his attentions turned to chasing, improving on his initial effort to score at Haydock and Newbury. He has been given a 9 lb rise in the weights since last seen in action, but the manner in which he travelled at Newbury marked him down as a progressive young chaser and he can complete the hat-trick of wins.

The following race presents us with another opportunity as we take the view that siding with the stable in form can lead us to financial gain. Ambion Wood is undoubtedly a horse with potential, showing smart form over hurdles and appealing as an exciting prospect in novice chases. However, his stable have had problems this year, shutting for a short period due to equine herpes, and they haven't really hit top gear yet. On the other hand, Tenor Nivernais hails from a Venetia Williams yard firing on all cylinders and has created a good impression over fences so far, achieving a level of form well in excess of what Ambion Wood managed on his seasonal reappearance at Exeter. Come the end of the season it would be little surprise were Ambion Wood to achieve the highest rating, but under today's conditions, considering the respective form of the stables, Tenor Nivernais has to rate as the bet.

It is a bit of a stretch to describe Michel le Bon, the lightly-raced ten-year-old trained by Paul Nicholls, as a veteran, but he has qualified for races of such nature and looks sure to take a great deal of beating in the 15:10. He actually faces a couple of rivals who are by no means past their best in Master Overseer and Pentiffic, but Michel le Bon's second in the Badger Ales over C&D in November sets a fair standard and a reproduction should ensure victory. He has since disappointed, but that came in the Welsh National and this race is obviously significantly less competitive than that marathon.

Timeform SmartPlays:
All at Wincanton

Back Parsnip Pete @ 3.211/5 in the 13:40 
Back Tenor Nivernais @ 2.285/4 in the 14:10
Back Michel le Bon @ 3.211/5 in the 15:10

Look out for Brand new features with Timeform Race Passes - In-Play Hints, Running Notes & Warning Horses. Find out more at timeform.com.

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