четверг, 3 января 2013 г.

Timeform Radio Tips: Folly to ignore this Fool

Rory's bets both run at Lingfield

Rory Delargy offers a couple of bets at Lingfield on Thursday.

Truth is never static, and what was wise last year may be folly now. That sounds like the basis of a resolution of sorts, which may be appropriate for the season. In this specific instance, the truth concerns both April Fool and Willie Twiston-Davies, who team up in the 15:20 at Lingfield today. The former hasn't been a betting proposition for a while, often showing his usual bright speed, but not seeing his races out. That may be about to change shortly, as Ron Harris' gelding is never one to dwell in the doldrums for long, and has been cut plenty of slack by the handicapper. This time last year, he bounced back from a series of lesser efforts to win with something to spare at Kempton, and he landed another couple of races before the end of April. He's dropped to a mark just 2 lb higher than his lowest winning mark of last season, and looks sure to get his own way in front again today. The latter made a less-than-smooth transition to the role of Flat apprentice around the time of his mount's last win, and has been the subject of poor reviews from myself and others through the summer. One thing I've always maintained is that the plethora of rides Willie's been given would ensure a steep learning curve, and the penny has begun to drop in the last few weeks, with the teenager looking much more polished, and clearly growing in confidence. He's certainly not one to lay blind any more, and is likely to play a prominent role in the apprentice championship in 2013 if continuing in the same vein. Hopefully he can prove the point by making all, and making fools out of the knockers. Al's memory should slot into second place from flagfall, and looks the main danger.

Harris has claims of a double in the last, when Lady Mango drops in class after losing her form in the latter half of 2012. She's a reliable performer on her day, and while the resurgent Bussa will be very hard to beat, there isn't much else in this contest, and she's undeniably well treated on the pick of her form. A 4-time winner last year, she's fully effective over C&D, and is 3 lb lower than for her latest win. She'll bounce back sooner rather than later, and is worth chancing at double-figure odds.  
  
Recommendations:

Back April Fool in the 15:20 Lingfield 
Back Lady Mango in the 15:50 Lingfield 

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