среда, 1 апреля 2015 г.

The Masters by numbers: 15 Masters trends

Bettors aiming to make a profit at the 2015 Masters should read these 15 Masters golf betting trends which give an insight into the numbers for the previous 78 tournaments.

0 -  Avoid the par 3 contest

The par 3 contest was first introduced in 1960 and is traditionally played on the Wednesday before the tournament starts. Interestingly for bettors no par 3-contest winner has also won the Masters in the same year. Can someone break the duck in 2015?

1 – Anchor Putter

In 2013 Adam Scott (21.110) became the first player to win the Masters using a belly or broom-handle putter.

1 – Don’t expect a rookie to win

Only one rookie has ever won the Masters – Fuzzy Zoeller. The American beat the odds in 1979, and despite Australian Jason Day (14.370) finishing 2nd in 2011, it appears that course knowledge has a pivotal bearing on performance at Augusta.  Shane Lowry can be backed at 111.910 to become the first since 1979.

3 – Tough to defend title

Only Jack Nicklaus (1965, 1966), Tiger Woods (2001, 2002) and Nick Faldo (1989,1990) have defended their Masters title the following year since 1934. This highlights the difficulty Bubba Watson will face when he begins his defence, but odds of 11.240 make him the second favourite.

4 – Avoid the early leader

Just four champions – Craig Wood (1941), Arnold Palmer (1960), Jack Nicklaus (1972) and Ray Floyd (1976) – have led for all four rounds of the Masters.

5 – Beware the watery graves

Five holes – 11, 12, 13, 15 & 16 – on Augusta’s back nine have water waiting to trap an errant shot. Many Masters hopefuls have met a watery end during the 78 years of action at Augusta. (13) was the score carded by Tom Weiskopf on the par-3 12th hole in the 1980 Masters.

7 – Consider the Left-handers

Left-handers have won only nine major tournaments. However, they have won seven of the last 12 green jackets. Could Phil Mickelson (27.990) or Bubba Watson claim another major win?

12 – Biggest winning margin

Twelve was the biggest winning margin set by Tiger Woods when he won his first Masters back in 1997. Woods’ four-day score is also a record at 270.

14 – Make the cut 12 months earlier

Since the 2000 Masters every winner has made the cut in the year immediately preceding their victory. Does this eliminate Phil Mickelson and Sergio Garcia (45.380) who struggled 12 months ago?

15 – Settled by a playoff

The Masters has gone to a playoff on 15 occasions. Two of the previous three Masters have been decided by a playoff – Scott beating Angel Cabrera (85.660) in 2013, while Bubba Watson beat Louis Oosthuizen (60.510) in 2012.

16 – Can a European break the duck

No European has won the Masters since Jose-Maria Olazabal 16 years ago. Will it be 17 years without a European green jacket winner? Rory McIlroy goes in as the favourite, while Henrik Stenson (17.650) and Justin Rose (37.280) join him amongst the top of the Masters winner odds.

24 – Hole in one

There have been 24 hole-in-ones recorded at the Masters. Interestingly 15 of these have come at hole 16, a par 3 of 170 yards. In 2013 Jamie Donaldson (136.450) became only the fifth player to achieve the feat on hole six in the event’s 78-year history.

Interested in how bettors and bookmakers underweight rare events? Click here to read about the infamous Hole In One Gang who in 1991 made a profit from taking advantage of ill informed bookmakers on the probability of a hole-in-one at a tournament.

25-39 – Age trend

Every Masters winner this century was aged between 25 and 39, with those in their 30′s enjoying the most success – Bubba Watson was 35 last year.

That range covers most of the leading candidates, and for the first time Rory McIlroy - who turned 25 in May.

46 – Over the hill at 40

At the tender age of 46, Jack Nicklaus became the oldest winner of the Masters in 1986 – no one this century has won the masters in their 40′s.

63 & 75 – One round doesn’t win or ruin your chances

63 is the joint Augusta course round record set by Nick Price in 1986 and Greg Norman in 1996 – but neither man went on to win.

75 is the highest first-round score of an eventual winner, when Craig Stadler carded it in 1982. 

Click here for the latest 2015 Masters odds.

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